Threat assessment

According to assessments produced throughout 2012, no groups or
individuals associated with the extremist movements were considered to pose a threat to Sweden and our democratic system, as a whole. In other words, they were assessed to lack the capability to implement their ideological goals.

However, while they may not be in a position to seize power by force, they have both the intent and the capability to pose a threat to certain individuals and societal processes. Over time, this may threaten national security and Sweden’s democratic system.

Violent crimes targeting fundamental democratic processes are quite rare in Sweden. Although there are ideological (latent) intentions to carry out direct actions against certain targets, very few such incidents have actually occurred. Most serious and systematic organised crimes are committed in response to elected representatives and others demanding tougher measures, taking countermeasures, or reporting in a negative manner about certain groups or phenomena. It follows that both the level of media exposure and the opinions expressed by certain people have an impact on the degree to which they are subject to unlawful pressure.

Certain groups are known for their considerable power of intimidation, based in part on a legacy of committing serious crimes – often highlighted by media – which has affected the public perception of what they are capable of.